Interesting what happens when you get prospects to an age appropriate level. Sightler is batting .216 and Cimillo is batting .145 since their promotions to Greensboro. So I think we can officially stand down and stop promoting them as late round steals.
The guy who’s more than holding his own is Brannigan (another HR this evening). I thought it was crazy that they went with him as a position player, but he’s set himself up well for a big test year in 2024 at Altoona.
I’m sure this will jinx him, but Chandler has set down his first 12 AA hitters with five strikeouts. He’s the Pirates’ #3 prospect behind Skenes and Johnson. The sky is the limit for this kid.
The days he is in the zone early, hes often very good. The walks or having to throw some center cut pitches to stay in the count are what kill him from what I can tell
Still thinking about that "historic rookie class" article from FanGraphs the other day.
One thing that jumps out for the hitters in particular is how fortunate they've been. I count 9 of the top 20 rookie bats currently sitting with an actual wOBA that's more than 20 points above their expected wOBA.
Liover is currently riding that wave as well, but Endy isn't and that would sure look a lot better comparatively.
Help a brother out with expected wOBA. If their actual wOBA is way ahead of their expected, they’re getting some luck. Is that right? I’ve always kind of short-handed looked at BABIP, which prolly isn’t the best.
xwOBA essentially tells you what the expected outcome would be for a given combination of strikeouts, walks, and batted balls with exit velo and launch angle accounted. BABIP is the shorthand signal for this, but much weaker.
My Pirate poster child was Adam Frazier the season he was traded; loaded up a singles served juuuuust over the infielders which may not necessarily have been lucky, but is exceptionally difficult to sustain. And then, sure enough.
You'll see certain guys run consistently elevated BABIPs but nobody outruns xwOBA. Takes very real improvement or else regression is inevitable.
Thanks! I always thought that BABIP was an ok, quick and dirty metric, but if a guy is fast (like Marte) his number would always be higher. This factors more into the equation.
@ Scott—Welp Mitch thru 1 with no runs. Good for him as if he is not good he givesmrunsmup early then settles down. If he settles down from here, will be a fun game for you 😁
Mitch was undone by a string of soft line drives that found grass in 3rd. Then the soon to be MVP hammered the coffin shut with one of the hardest hit HR’s I’ve ever seen.
I hope Keller’s great tonight but the only real way to beat the Braves is to score a bunch of runs because they are going to score with their lineup. The lowest BA in that lineup is their #9 hitter’s .229 while unfortunately the Pirates have four starters tonight with a combined BA of .208 including the clean up hitter. Pitching’s not gonna help that. The Braves lineup has hit 206 HRs to 74 for our beloved but inept Pirates and their first four hitters have an average of 35 HRs each. Yikes!
Good luck for sure. Better fill you pockets with rabbits feet and four leaf clovers.
Anybody know this Acuna guy? Seems good.
Some mets fan said his brother is better, got more than double the signing bonus lol
sheesh!
Good night for Jones 7 innings 4 hits 4 k's 1 walk. 0 runs
Interesting what happens when you get prospects to an age appropriate level. Sightler is batting .216 and Cimillo is batting .145 since their promotions to Greensboro. So I think we can officially stand down and stop promoting them as late round steals.
The guy who’s more than holding his own is Brannigan (another HR this evening). I thought it was crazy that they went with him as a position player, but he’s set himself up well for a big test year in 2024 at Altoona.
still too early to declare anything with them tbh
Please let this be Hayes from now on!
Jack boom! Hes showing signs of life and ke doing ke things
Rivas having his game of the season
Dinks and doinks one inning, a 455 ft bomb in the next. In awe of their lineup and bummed keller caught the bad luck
Nvm they just rake
Death by paper cuts.
Keller is pitching good, bad luck on babip so far.
Those last five singles were all between 70-83 EV.
I’m sure this will jinx him, but Chandler has set down his first 12 AA hitters with five strikeouts. He’s the Pirates’ #3 prospect behind Skenes and Johnson. The sky is the limit for this kid.
Pulled after 5 innings 1 hit 0 walks 8 strikeouts.
That'll do.
With the way Jones and Chandler shoved tonight, it was a good night for the Pirates even though they got crushed by Braves.
The days he is in the zone early, hes often very good. The walks or having to throw some center cut pitches to stay in the count are what kill him from what I can tell
Still thinking about that "historic rookie class" article from FanGraphs the other day.
One thing that jumps out for the hitters in particular is how fortunate they've been. I count 9 of the top 20 rookie bats currently sitting with an actual wOBA that's more than 20 points above their expected wOBA.
Liover is currently riding that wave as well, but Endy isn't and that would sure look a lot better comparatively.
Help a brother out with expected wOBA. If their actual wOBA is way ahead of their expected, they’re getting some luck. Is that right? I’ve always kind of short-handed looked at BABIP, which prolly isn’t the best.
That's the gist, yep.
xwOBA essentially tells you what the expected outcome would be for a given combination of strikeouts, walks, and batted balls with exit velo and launch angle accounted. BABIP is the shorthand signal for this, but much weaker.
My Pirate poster child was Adam Frazier the season he was traded; loaded up a singles served juuuuust over the infielders which may not necessarily have been lucky, but is exceptionally difficult to sustain. And then, sure enough.
You'll see certain guys run consistently elevated BABIPs but nobody outruns xwOBA. Takes very real improvement or else regression is inevitable.
Thanks! I always thought that BABIP was an ok, quick and dirty metric, but if a guy is fast (like Marte) his number would always be higher. This factors more into the equation.
I mentioned before about how much of the Reds rookie success was a mirage and you can see that playing out in real time now.
De la cruz is the poster child for that right now lol
womp womp. ;)
The braves are such a well-built team, taking one would be a win imo
Heading to Truist Park tonight to cheer on the Bucs. I’d love to see Mitch hurl a gem, but the Braves lineup is stacked.
Let’s Go Bucs!
@ Scott—Welp Mitch thru 1 with no runs. Good for him as if he is not good he givesmrunsmup early then settles down. If he settles down from here, will be a fun game for you 😁
Welp, I jinxed him…..l. My bad……..
Mitch was undone by a string of soft line drives that found grass in 3rd. Then the soon to be MVP hammered the coffin shut with one of the hardest hit HR’s I’ve ever seen.
Hopefully tomorrow will be better for our Bucs.
I hope Keller’s great tonight but the only real way to beat the Braves is to score a bunch of runs because they are going to score with their lineup. The lowest BA in that lineup is their #9 hitter’s .229 while unfortunately the Pirates have four starters tonight with a combined BA of .208 including the clean up hitter. Pitching’s not gonna help that. The Braves lineup has hit 206 HRs to 74 for our beloved but inept Pirates and their first four hitters have an average of 35 HRs each. Yikes!
Good luck for sure. Better fill you pockets with rabbits feet and four leaf clovers.
I hope you are good luck!
lets go bucs!
Mitch Keller ranks 15th in single season strikeouts for the Pirates with 187.
200 strikeouts has only been reached ten times
He is 22 away from the team record for a right-handed pitcher