My feelings are the wheels will begin falling off this shaky team and soon we'll be talking about who we can move at the deadline. Way too many underachieving players as well as a really bad manager and hitting coach are sinking this ship quickly.
I'm with you. The next three games could be telling one way or the other. This is the time of year when the Pirates often show their real selves and go on a losing streak especially after a disappointing loss like Sunday and against a team like the Reds. I hope they step up instead of cowering and sleep walking but whether Shelton can regroup this team to play hard on the road is concerning.
Their pythag winning percentage has them playing at roughly a 90 loss pace. You are correct to be concerned that this is perhaps where the bottom falls out.
Front line pitching is too good for 90 L's. I think they'll hang around for a while and make some moves. Whether they get in or not will depend on what moves are made.
Well, that also influences my thinking. I’m skeptical they make any moves of import. I don’t see them overpaying for anyone significant with how thin the farm system has gotten. Aside from a few players, I also don’t think we have the types of prospects that interest other teams. No ones giving you much of value for guys like Tsung-Che Cheng or Mitch Jebb.
Maybe I'm just being optimistic this morning but I wonder sometime if this type of team breaks the pythag model. Not good enough to win their share of blowouts but good enough to buckle down and remain competitive when they're close?
I agree that pythag can be unfair pitching oriented teams. As you said, we are never going to get our fair share of the blowouts to run up a good winning percentage in the model. The counter to that argument would be that perhaps our winning % in one run games isn’t sustainable. What concerns me that Doc might be right is that the pitching is regressing a little bit. Bailey Falter has been more as expected recently and Jared Jones is experiencing some normal bumps in his growth. And the offense doesn’t seem to be able put it all together for a stretch.
A mid-level outfield prospect with potential. At least at AA or higher. Reality based and not dreaming or hoping the other team is dumb. The Orioles have several but their top ones like Kjerstad, who was just recalled, would take a lot more than Falter. They are also said to be looking for a starter now with the injuries they've had. How about Beavers (#7) or Fabian (#12) who are at Bowie now and maybe another lower level younger guy? Other teams have similar players who are not really needed or likely to be needed by their current team this year or next.
Alika Williams with some impressive exit velo numbers. Somebody must need a MI - hopefully some team that has a CF ready to step into the Pirate lineup. Sure, it will take more than AW, but he's at least a solid piece of a trade offer.
YDLS and Jhonny Severino continue to impress in the FCL.
Paul Skenes, 22, with upper 90's Velo and upper 90's number of pitches yesterday. He looks very able to handle the work, but is that our development plan for him in his first full year of professional baseball? Only 46 IP to date, but it would be nice to have a plan where he could still be in the Rotation in Aug/Sep. Our other 22 year old, Jared Jones, is already up to 86 IP - last year he pitched 126 innings between AA and AAA. In 2022 he pitched 123 innings at A+. What's the plan for him?
The All-SEC CWS Final tonight between Tennessee and Texas A&M. Two very good ballclubs with exceptional Coaches. On the Tennessee 40 man Roster, there are 13 Freshmen, 10 Soph's, and they lost SP Chase Burns in the transfer portal prior to the season. Jim Schlossnagle turned Texas A&M around quickly after leaving TCU a few years ago. While at TCU, it became Pitcher U for a long time.
My feelings are the wheels will begin falling off this shaky team and soon we'll be talking about who we can move at the deadline. Way too many underachieving players as well as a really bad manager and hitting coach are sinking this ship quickly.
I am less than optimistic about this road trip.
I'm with you. The next three games could be telling one way or the other. This is the time of year when the Pirates often show their real selves and go on a losing streak especially after a disappointing loss like Sunday and against a team like the Reds. I hope they step up instead of cowering and sleep walking but whether Shelton can regroup this team to play hard on the road is concerning.
Their pythag winning percentage has them playing at roughly a 90 loss pace. You are correct to be concerned that this is perhaps where the bottom falls out.
Front line pitching is too good for 90 L's. I think they'll hang around for a while and make some moves. Whether they get in or not will depend on what moves are made.
Well, that also influences my thinking. I’m skeptical they make any moves of import. I don’t see them overpaying for anyone significant with how thin the farm system has gotten. Aside from a few players, I also don’t think we have the types of prospects that interest other teams. No ones giving you much of value for guys like Tsung-Che Cheng or Mitch Jebb.
.538 winning percentage in one-run games.
.421 winning percentage in blow outs.
Maybe I'm just being optimistic this morning but I wonder sometime if this type of team breaks the pythag model. Not good enough to win their share of blowouts but good enough to buckle down and remain competitive when they're close?
Good front line pitching, good backend end BP, bad offense, bad long relief. All these factors mess with the pythag algorithm.
The bad offense and bad long relief show its ugly self during blowouts.
I agree that pythag can be unfair pitching oriented teams. As you said, we are never going to get our fair share of the blowouts to run up a good winning percentage in the model. The counter to that argument would be that perhaps our winning % in one run games isn’t sustainable. What concerns me that Doc might be right is that the pitching is regressing a little bit. Bailey Falter has been more as expected recently and Jared Jones is experiencing some normal bumps in his growth. And the offense doesn’t seem to be able put it all together for a stretch.
What concerns me is not the SP but losing Bednar.
An oblique can easily take us to the A/S game without our closer who is largely responsible for winning many close games.
Very much agree with your counter.
sources saying KeBryan and Taylor for Kirriloff and Buxton
Sources say Bailey Falter being traded for a hitter.
like
A mid-level outfield prospect with potential. At least at AA or higher. Reality based and not dreaming or hoping the other team is dumb. The Orioles have several but their top ones like Kjerstad, who was just recalled, would take a lot more than Falter. They are also said to be looking for a starter now with the injuries they've had. How about Beavers (#7) or Fabian (#12) who are at Bowie now and maybe another lower level younger guy? Other teams have similar players who are not really needed or likely to be needed by their current team this year or next.
Falter and Tank for Jazz
I'd be down for that
Me too but Marlins GM probably not so much, lol.
how is it that we all hold Heston Kjerstad in such high regard while his .649 is not much different than Tank´s MLB numbers?
CUT IT OUT, CANT'CHA!!!!!
Alika Williams with some impressive exit velo numbers. Somebody must need a MI - hopefully some team that has a CF ready to step into the Pirate lineup. Sure, it will take more than AW, but he's at least a solid piece of a trade offer.
YDLS and Jhonny Severino continue to impress in the FCL.
Paul Skenes, 22, with upper 90's Velo and upper 90's number of pitches yesterday. He looks very able to handle the work, but is that our development plan for him in his first full year of professional baseball? Only 46 IP to date, but it would be nice to have a plan where he could still be in the Rotation in Aug/Sep. Our other 22 year old, Jared Jones, is already up to 86 IP - last year he pitched 126 innings between AA and AAA. In 2022 he pitched 123 innings at A+. What's the plan for him?
The All-SEC CWS Final tonight between Tennessee and Texas A&M. Two very good ballclubs with exceptional Coaches. On the Tennessee 40 man Roster, there are 13 Freshmen, 10 Soph's, and they lost SP Chase Burns in the transfer portal prior to the season. Jim Schlossnagle turned Texas A&M around quickly after leaving TCU a few years ago. While at TCU, it became Pitcher U for a long time.