60 Comments

This new obstruction rule for 2024 should cause a lot of delays and weird rulings.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EsrtI4Oilj8

Expand full comment

We need power hitters....Condon is now out of range...maybe Kurtz falls behind all those pitchers.

Expand full comment

I still like Blake Burke somewhere between rounds 2 and 4. Rodney Green round 4 or later.

Burke had a rough start in the first week and a half but has been crushing the ball lately.

Expand full comment

Eric Lauer? Another pitcher who was good not that long ago but pretty bad last year. Anyone know more about why last year was so rough for him and whether we should have realistic hopes that he can get back to his '22 form? It's just a minor league deal, so no harm in giving him a look.

Expand full comment

Like

Expand full comment

See on MLBTR Lauer had elbow and shoulder injuries throughout the entire 2023 season besides the impingement issue with his right shoulder. If he is actually healthy again…….

Expand full comment

It’ll tough for him not to face the Pirates. He has a 2.61 lifetime ERA against Ben’s clown show offense.

Expand full comment
Mar 7·edited Mar 7

A bit off topic but was reading the MLB article about the Spring Breakout game and they have video of Skenes, Chandler, and Solometo pitching in the article. Solometo reminds me so much of Candelaria’s delivery just with a bit longer back swing with his arm before coming home with it. Never looked like Candelaria was ever throwing that hard with that windup of his. He was bringing it in the low 90’s but that was hard in those days unlike these days.

Expand full comment

My current T10 would be

Bazzana

Weatherholt

Hagen smith

Condon

Kurtz

Hardle

Castiglione

Griffin

Morlando

Brecht

Out on Burns due to injury risk

Expand full comment

Fair to wonder about JJ’s injury risk too. Hasn’t he had a couple issues with the hammy?

Expand full comment

Is it rational to hope they *don't* take Bazzana purely for the inevitable cringey Greg Brown home run calls.

Expand full comment

His home run calls are bad. Not like my puns, which are all brilliant.

Expand full comment
author

I watched a couple innings of Brecht's last start and the stuff is absolutely there, I just don't know if I can take a gamble on him because of the control. A 40 grade on it seems generous on it at times.

Expand full comment

He may have Brecht himself if he doesn’t get that control in order…

Expand full comment

I have him just outside the top group of college arms because of his control. He's still a top 20 pick though with probably the highest ceiling.

Expand full comment

Only tangentially related but I was digging into Misorowski of the Brewers the other day and holy crap.

Expand full comment
author

What? No Montgomery? I hate it!!! lol

Expand full comment

I like Jac or Vance but Braden is slowly creeping into my hope list

Expand full comment
Mar 7Liked by NolaJeffy(BnP)

I hope he makes it to us. He's the best outfielder in my opinion.

Expand full comment
author

We'll see how it plays out and then come draft time how it falls, but I think there's a good chance to try and get one of Honeycutt or Montgomery which would make me very happy.

Expand full comment
Mar 7Liked by NolaJeffy(BnP)

Can't believe I'm saying this but think JJ or Kurtz may fall to us at pick 9. Kurtz is really getting pitched around this year, he still doesn't chase much but a few of the at bats I've watched he has. Of course JJ has been hurt.

Honeycutt scares me with his swing and miss issues. I don't think he has a double or triple this year, just homeruns and singles lol. Plenty of stolen bases follow the singles. If I had just a little more confidence in his bat I'd be right there with ya, his other tools are so damn good.

Expand full comment
author
Mar 7·edited Mar 7Author

One way or another, there should be a juicy crop of hitters to choose from at 9. So, they'll take a pitcher lol

Expand full comment

My hope is we get one of these 4. Kurtz, JJ, Jac or Montgomery.

Condon would be there but I don't think there's a chance of him being there unless he falls off a cliff.

Expand full comment
author

I like pitchers lol

Expand full comment

High school pitcher at that lol.

Expand full comment

That's the same daniel cuvet we drafted but couldnt ink? Man wouldnt that have been nice

Expand full comment
Mar 7Liked by NolaJeffy(BnP)

Busted draft.

I can't imagine they went under on 6 picks in the top 10 rounds so that they could give Zander Meuth a modest overslot deal and eat a bunch of spending capacity.

They had to have someone else lined up overslot, got sniped, and then grabbed Cuvet on a hail mary.

Expand full comment

My question about this as a stupid internet man…wouldn’t you have numerous guys to target in case you’re sniped? As in, we have 5-10 guys we have ticketed for potential big overslot bonuses rounds 6-10, so we’re bound to hit one of them? What do I know…

Expand full comment

I've never been close to a draft room either but I bet it comes down to options and opportunity.

Seems like clubs generally like having handshake deals lined up with their target and at the end of the day there's only so many dudes in a given draft that're even worth it. Success rate is pretty abysmal and HS arms in particular are extracting huge premiums to buy them out of college.

Expand full comment

I heard it was Cameron Johnson. He backed out last minute

Expand full comment

Oh for real? That would do it.

Expand full comment

They should have been able to go close $1.3 million to sign him. If I'm remembering correctly, they still had close a half million under their pool allotment.

Expand full comment

Let's hope $2m wouldn't have done it or that they dumped three quarters of a mil into Curtis and Cotto only after getting told no by Cuvet.

Expand full comment

Conference play begins!

Expand full comment
Mar 7Liked by NolaJeffy(BnP)

Might have to catch a UGA game in Athens to see Charlie (Aaron Judge, Jr.) Condon go yard 3 or 4 times.

Wowza!!!

Expand full comment

He's been absolutely crazy hitting the ball. About 6 or 7 college pitchers creeping into the top 15 range with 4 or 5 potential top 10. Top of the draft is not looking the same with Condon jumping the pack, JJ hurt and Kurtz being pitched around.

Expand full comment
author

Condon ranked #1 in Law's ranking he just released

Expand full comment
Mar 7Liked by NolaJeffy(BnP)

Le Grand Condon.

Expand full comment

Is that a Le Grand Meulnes reference?

Expand full comment

No, a reference to le grand conde, a 17th century French general. For whatever reason, that name has stuck with me and it came back with Charlie Condon (shrugs).

Expand full comment
author

Keith Law isn't much of a Mike Sirota fan. Or Santucci. Having Santucci 28, I'm just going to ignore everything he says from now on lol

Expand full comment
author

I was wondering who would be the first to really jump him up towards the top. I'll have to go check it out.

Expand full comment
Mar 7·edited Mar 7

Santucci, Smith and Hartle are as good a top 3 lefty college group as I can remember. All could go in the top 10 (Jac also). Smith probably has the highest ceiling but lowest floor. Hartle has the very high floor but is pinched by his lower ceiling. I think I like Santucci the most so far, even though his ceiling isn't quite as high as Smith and his floor is lower than Hartle. Great match-up to kick off conference play between Duke and Wake.

Expand full comment

Hartley seems pretty meh to me. Very good control, meh stuff. Also, I’d wait to see if they make it all the way through healthy before we call them the best college lefty group in recent memory.

Expand full comment
author

I was going to touch on the Santucci/Smith/Hartle race here but decided to dedicate a whole article to it later on. Have watched every pitch Santucci has thrown this year. Excited to see him face Kurtz and King.

Expand full comment

Ryan Prager from TA&M is another draft eligible lefty off to a great start. I watched a game he pitched but was focusing more on the A&M hitters and didn't get a good feel for his stuff. He seemed to be a high 80's low 90's guy with pretty good control.

Expand full comment
author
Mar 7·edited Mar 7Author

Holman going to rise up the rankings pretty quickly.

(missed the lefty part. But point still stands lol)

Expand full comment
Mar 7Liked by NolaJeffy(BnP)

He's one of my top 15 probably top 10. 30 strikeouts to 2 walks, crazy good control.

Expand full comment
author

Holman has been crazy good this year.

Expand full comment
author

Turd going to be pushed back to mid-week starter soon

Expand full comment
author

Kade Anderson!

Expand full comment
Mar 7Liked by NolaJeffy(BnP)

Gage is going to Jump him!

I'm glad they are easing him back in.

Expand full comment
Mar 7Liked by NolaJeffy(BnP)

He looks like the next Aaron Judge in that highlight.

Expand full comment